Tuesday, August 16, 2016

10 Ideas to Make Politics Less Rotten

Freakonomics Radio: 10 Ideas to Make Politics Less Rotten


In my dreamworld, every person in the United States would listen to this. (I'm far too Libertarian to say "every person would be required.") It's just too good. It's too right. It's in every possible way completely needed. People need a better education about how the politics in the United States works from an unbiased and actually educated and experienced source. And this podcast episode does a great job of breaking it down and explaining things in just the right now. (In my humble opinion.)

Ever heard of the Seattle idea of "Democracy Dollars?" Personally, I love it. (And you can bet that if we had that system at the federal level, there is no way Trump or Hillary would be our current candidates.)

No cheering at debates? Please and thank you! Listen, I've been one of the staffers sent to a debate to make as much noise as possible. I know how completely rigged those audiences are.

And Howard Dean is spot on (never thought I'd say that) about the Electoral College.

Go listen to it. It's great. It's interesting. And it just might open your mind.


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Thursday, August 4, 2016

I Choose Religious Freedom


Recently I read an article about Gary Johnson (Libertarian candidate) and religious liberty. It turned me 100% against him.
But his exclusive piece in today's Deseret News, has turned me 100% to him. I highly recommend reading it.
Whereas I've been a Libertarian for a while now, it was his out-of-context comments about Mormons and religious freedom that turned me against him. Now that I've read them in context, and he's expounded on the subject, I can fully back him, solely on his beliefs regarding religious freedom. I completely and in every way agree with him.
Specifically this is what has won me over -
"non-discrimination and religious freedom are not opposing forces, but can instead go hand in hand.
I want to be clear. I believe we can, and must, strike a balance between our shared American values of religious liberty and freedom from discrimination. My concerns lie with the possible consequences of politically-driven legislation which claims to promote religious liberty but instead rolls back the legal protections held by LGBT Americans.
This does not in any way diminish my respect for and commitment to the legitimate protection of the right to believe, to practice and to express deeply-held religious beliefs."
"America is big enough to accommodate differences of opinion and practice on religious and social beliefs. As a nation and as a society, we must reject discrimination, forcefully and without asterisks.
Most importantly, as president I will zealously defend the Constitution of the United States and all of its amendments."

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Electoral Votes versus Popular Votes



There is a renewed interest in the Electoral College across the US right now. Many people are disenfranchised with their party’s candidate, and are wondering whether or not voting for a third party candidate will help or hinder the other party.
The big question out there is can a candidate win without 50% of the popular vote? And how does the Electoral College really work? There are a lot of people out there right now unhappy with both Trump and Clinton, and are turning to Johnson out of desperation. But does Johnson have a chance at winning? Or will his presence make a real difference in keeping someone else from winning? There are even people who hope that maybe former Governor Mitt Romney could somehow win as a write-in candidate.
The bottom line is this- right now, it is very possible that the Electoral College results will not reflect the popular vote. And it is also very possible that if enough people continue to show their support for a third party candidate, that the electoral college will not produce a winner, and the presidency will be determined by the lame duck Congress and Senate.
But we’re getting ahead of ourselves. Let’s start back at the beginning.
Instead of selecting a president based on how many votes they receive, the Founding Fathers established what's called the Electoral College. Each state gets the same number of electors as it has Congressmen and Senators -- and the bigger the state, the more electors it has.  (In all but 2 states (Maine and Nebraska), the winner of the popular vote will get all of the Electoral College votes.)
There are a total of 538 electors. A candidate needs the vote of more than half (270) to win the Presidential election. There is no Constitutional provision or Federal law that requires Electors to vote according to the results of the popular vote in their states. Some states, however, require Electors to cast their votes according to the popular vote. These pledges fall into two categories—Electors bound by state law and those bound by pledges to political parties*. Throughout history more than 99 percent of Electors have voted as pledged.
It is possible to win the presidency without winning the popular vote. In 2000, President George W. Bush lost the popular vote to Vice President Al Gore by .51% but won the Electoral College 271 to 266.  (Who voted that year and doesn’t remember the significance of the “hanging chad?”)
In 2012 President Barack Obama got 51% of the nationwide votes, narrowly defeating Governor Mitt Romney in the popular vote. But those votes translated into 61% of the Electoral College votes, giving the illusion of an overwhelming victory.  Winning in key states with the larger number of electoral votes matters.
As of 5pm Eastern time on July 27, 2016, neither Donald Trump or Secretary Hillary Clinton has over 50% of the popular vote according to polls. As of this moment, Real Clear Politics polling average shows Trump at 45.7% and Clinton at 44.6%.  If you change it to a 3-way race, and include Governor Gary Johnson, it changes to Trump 39.6, Clinton 39.2, and Johnson 8.6.
It is of great significance that if you then translate those votes into electoral votes that the situation shifts into Clinton’s favor. According to the popular website “270 to win” Clinton currently has 241 electoral votes, while Trump only has 105, with 125 “toss up” votes too close to determine. (Which means Trump and Clinton are within 5 percentage points of each other, making it too close to call.) Those 125 votes will easily give Clinton the remaining 29. (All she has to do is win Florida to make that happen.)  Obviously, the Trump campaign will do everything in its power to gain traction in those gray states.  Johnson does have a fighting chance in Utah and New Mexico, but the 11 votes between the two states won’t make much of a difference.
Real Clear Politics shows Clinton/Kaine with 202 electoral votes, Trump/Pence with 164, and 172 toss up votes. RCP was updated as of July 25, 270 to win was update July 19.
But we have to go back to the importance of the difference between the words majority and popular. Remember that only 2 states divide up the electoral votes to represent the popular votes. All of the other states are winner-takes-all. In other words, a vote for a third party candidate could throw the election in favor of a different party in those states.
But let’s keep going with the “what if” game. What if no one gets enough electoral votes? It’s highly unlikely at this point, but in this completely unprecedented election year, anything could happen.
What happens if no one wins the Electoral College? What happens next? If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has one vote. (In other words, forget drafting Mitt Romney. He could only win as a write-in, and not in the Electoral College.)
The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most Electoral votes. (In other words, Johnson’s running mate, Gov. Bill Weld, has almost no hope of winning an office.) Each Senator would cast one vote for Vice President. If the House of Representatives fails to elect a President by Inauguration Day, the Vice-President Elect serves as acting President until the deadlock is resolved in the House. 
I won’t decide for you whether or not voting third party will make a difference in this election. Everyone should vote their conscience and for the candidate they believe in. And no one interested in voting third party should be discouraged by this information. If there is anything we have learned in this election cycle it’s that the unbelievable, unprecedented, and impossible can happen. And we’ve definitely seen that there are people out there who aren’t happy with the status quo. If enough people forget about loyalty to labels and vote their conscience, this could be the year that the Electoral College changes.
*One last thought- It could also be the year that the Electoral College doesn’t follow historic precedent. There is no federal law that requires electors to vote as they have pledged. Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia have legal control over how their electors vote in the Electoral College. This means their electors are bound by state law and/or by state or party pledge to cast their vote for the candidate that wins the statewide popular vote. At the same time, this also means that there are 21 states in the union that have no requirements of, or legal control over, their electors. Therefore, despite the outcome of a state’s popular vote, the state’s electors are ultimately free to vote in whatever manner they please, including an abstention, with no legal repercussions.
What happens if an Elector violates the state law? It’s a misdemeanor or small fine, usually only $1,000.
The states where Electors are bound – Alabama, Alaska, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
Notable battleground states where Electors are not bound- Florida and Georgia.

Monday, July 4, 2016

The Declaration of Independence

IN CONGRESS, July 4, 1776.

The unanimous Declaration of the thirteen united States of America,

When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.--That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, --That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.--Such has been the patient sufferance of these Colonies; and such is now the necessity which constrains them to alter their former Systems of Government. The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.


He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.
He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, unless suspended in their operation till his Assent should be obtained; and when so suspended, he has utterly neglected to attend to them.
He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.
He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.
He has dissolved Representative Houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.
He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the Legislative powers, incapable of Annihilation, have returned to the People at large for their exercise; the State remaining in the mean time exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.
He has endeavoured to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, and raising the conditions of new Appropriations of Lands.
He has obstructed the Administration of Justice, by refusing his Assent to Laws for establishing Judiciary powers.
He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.
He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harrass our people, and eat out their substance.
He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures.
He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.
He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his Assent to their Acts of pretended Legislation:
For Quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:
For protecting them, by a mock Trial, from punishment for any Murders which they should commit on the Inhabitants of these States:
For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world:
For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent:
For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of Trial by Jury:
For transporting us beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences
For abolishing the free System of English Laws in a neighbouring Province, establishing therein an Arbitrary government, and enlarging its Boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule into these Colonies:
For taking away our Charters, abolishing our most valuable Laws, and altering fundamentally the Forms of our Governments:
For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.
He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.
He has plundered our seas, ravaged our Coasts, burnt our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.
He is at this time transporting large Armies of foreign Mercenaries to compleat the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of Cruelty & perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the Head of a civilized nation.
He has constrained our fellow Citizens taken Captive on the high Seas to bear Arms against their Country, to become the executioners of their friends and Brethren, or to fall themselves by their Hands.
He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

In every stage of these Oppressions We have Petitioned for Redress in the most humble terms: Our repeated Petitions have been answered only by repeated injury. A Prince whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a Tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.

Nor have We been wanting in attentions to our Brittish brethren. We have warned them from time to time of attempts by their legislature to extend an unwarrantable jurisdiction over us. We have reminded them of the circumstances of our emigration and settlement here. We have appealed to their native justice and magnanimity, and we have conjured them by the ties of our common kindred to disavow these usurpations, which, would inevitably interrupt our connections and correspondence. They too have been deaf to the voice of justice and of consanguinity. We must, therefore, acquiesce in the necessity, which denounces our Separation, and hold them, as we hold the rest of mankind, Enemies in War, in Peace Friends.

We, therefore, the Representatives of the united States of America, in General Congress, Assembled, appealing to the Supreme Judge of the world for the rectitude of our intentions, do, in the Name, and by Authority of the good People of these Colonies, solemnly publish and declare, That these United Colonies are, and of Right ought to be Free and Independent States; that they are Absolved from all Allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain, is and ought to be totally dissolved; and that as Free and Independent States, they have full Power to levy War, conclude Peace, contract Alliances, establish Commerce, and to do all other Acts and Things which Independent States may of right do. And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.

Friday, May 20, 2016

My independent vote counts



Today it occurred to me how much more my vote counts this year than ever before. Because I intend to vote third party.
Most people would argue right now that a vote for an independent or write-in presidential candidate is a throw away vote. But today I realized that's simply not true.
My vote means more because it sends the strong message of who really represents me and my values.
I cannot vote for Hillary Clinton. She's dishonest. I don't trust anything she says. And plain and simple she just doesn't represent my political beliefs.
I cannot vote for Donald Trump. He's too arrogant, too brazen, and too unreliable to be trusted. He doesn't represent my beliefs morally or politically. I believe a vote for Donald Trump is a vote for the next world war.
I will not follow the half-hearted Republican cry to rally 'round the nominee presumptive. The word "Republican" means nothing to me. I see no reason to stay loyal to a label. I choose instead to stay loyal to my beliefs. I am ashamed of the party leaders who know that Trump is the wrong candidate, and yet are sticking with the party. (I have felt no loyalty to the party for many years. But they particularly alienated me when the evangelicals who run the party began to support the morally defunct Trump - a known philanderer, but couldn't support the Mormon Romney. Talk about unforgivable hypocrisy.)
And that is why my independent vote matters so much more this year. It may not be a tipping point vote that helps pick the next POTUS. But it will send a loud message about who does and will represent my beliefs.

Friday, May 13, 2016

Donald Trump is Donald Trump's Very Best Spokesman

The fact that Trump actually thinks that people can't tell that this is his voice is absolutely ludicrous. The very idea that he even posed as a spokesperson to talk about himself in such glowing terms is ludicrous.
It is appalling that so many Republican leaders are supporting him out of spite for Hillary, or just to protect the Republican label. The name Republican means nothing now.



SOURCE: Donald Trump masqueraded as a spokesman to brag about himself

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

6 Important Reasons I Will Never Support Donald Trump for President


A friend of mine on Facebook recently stated that he’s really starting to like Trump. Specifically he said, 
“Learning more about this man as his campaign develops.
Let me say it like this. I resonate with so much of what he says. Believe it's American and I believe it is on point. We must hunker down on big issues like immigration, nuclear weapons, sanctions on China, jobs, terrorist groups and many other issues.
Side note. Trump is sloppy. He is not a career politician. He is in some ways what we should expect from someone who is on the outside looking in. He wants what so many Americans feel for this country. He loves America!
Trump isn't going to tout the constitution because that is an unspoken for him. It is not the constitution in and of itself that concerns the American people. It's about big issues and how can we make them align with the American values. He's not a constitution martyr.
Side note. I'm not in love with the guy yet but I'm forming arguments that help me understand who is the best for our country. I am in love with his momentum.
Now, take for example, his temperament and the crazy things he says in front of millions of people... If it wasn't for these things would he otherwise be fit for president? Maybe. Maybe not.
What is to be said about defending oneself when your opponent takes a cheap shot at your hands/manhood? Was that presidential? What is presidential?
In my opinion Trump's ideals, how he thinks, aligns with the constitution with what hopefully the American people want deep down.
He went on to more or less to invite people to explain why they disagree. So, friend, here we go. Here is why I strongly disagree with Trump to the point of actively campaigning against him.


1. Actual Trump quote, “If I become president, we’re all going to be saying Merry Christmas again, that I can tell you.” 
I can see and understand why this sounds like a good thing to some people. And I’m someone who likes to always say Merry Christmas. It’s a religious holiday and I treat it as such. But I respect that for the majority of Americans, it’s not a deeply religious holiday. I respect that in order to be more generic and not say the wrong thing to other faiths some people don’t say it. I could shrug off what Trump said as one of his big crowd-pleasing statements that he would never actually make happen, but that’s just the thing. Some of his other statements worry me that he might actually try to pass a law or decree that forces people to say Merry Christmas. And again, I like Merry Christmas. But it’s the forcing anyone to say anything religious that scares me. And the complete and total disregard for freedom of speech.

2. His comments to and regarding Megyn Kelly and other media members.
First, his comments about Megyn Kelly have been downright rude, misogynistic, sexist, and inappropriate. If any other public figure made those comments they would be hung in the public square. But because Trump is his own media circus, and statements like that make a bigger circus, so somehow he gets away with it.
I will say one thing almost in Trump’s defense. I will agree with this one thing he said in his Washington Post Editorial Board panel. “You’ll do a hundred deals, and you’ll do one bad one or two bad ones — that’s all they read about are the bad ones. They don’t read about the one hundred and fifty great ones that you had. And even some of the ones they write that are good, they make them sound bad.”
He’s right. There is an exploitation problem in the 24/7 news cycle. The media does blow things up unnecessarily. (In fact, I’m writing a book about this subject.) But at the same time, I don’t get the impression Trump only had 1 or 2 bad deals. There are too many stories and rumors about lots of bad deals. I don’t trust him to be honest. Ever.
But let’s go back to how he says that when he’s in the Oval Office he wants to limit the media from saying bad things about them. He calls it making them be fair. (And again, I do think the media could be more fair by not exploiting so many stories just to sell papers and fill the airwaves.) But we should never, ever limit or attempt to control the media.
For this reason alone I could never vote for Trump. And why I truly believe he would lead our country to hell in a hand basket faster than you can say gesundheit.

3) He stated that he thinks the number of illegalimmigrants in the United States is “30 million, it could be 34 million.” 
This number is flat out wrong. Horribly wrong. It’s about 11 million.
It’s not that he got the number wrong. It’s that this is a perfect example of how he makes up random facts. He has plenty of money. He could have a well-experienced campaign staff with experience writing speeches and doing research for him. But he doesn’t. He prefers to speak off the cuff, and not use a speechwriter. Some people respect that. My problem with it is that he doesn’t research anything he talks about. He has no problem spouting off about things he has no knowledge of.
Actual quote –
“[The difference] will [matter] when it’s appropriate,” Trump said. “I will know more about it than you know, and believe me, it won’t take long.”
Hamas is a Palestinian Islamist organization based in the Gaza Strip. Hezbollah is a Shiite Islamist militant group and political party based in Lebanon. Both are avowedly committed to Israel’s destruction.
His ego… “I will know more about it than you know, and believe me, it won’t take long.” Wow. I’m not impressed with that sort of comment. In fact, it’s a massive turnoff.
He wants to be the most powerful man in the world (or actually probably believes that he is already) and he doesn’t bother to research the issues?? I can’t support that. At. All.

4. To quote the NY Times, “Even more disqualifying is Mr. Trump’s temperament. He is erratic, inconsistent, and unprincipled. He possesses a streak of crudity and cruelty that manifested itself in how he physically mocked a Times journalist with a disability, ridiculed Senator John McCain for being a POW, made a reference to “blood” intended to degrade a female journalist, and compared one of his opponents to a child molester.”

5. His tendency to say, “I will be the best {insert anything here}.” I don’t understand how or why people believe him when he makes this claim. I can walk around all day telling you that “I will know more about it than you know, and believe me, it won’t take long” and you would hate me for it. And yet, somehow, there are people who actually believe him and like him for it.

6. I truly believe that despite the fact that he says things like how he’ll uphold the Constitution, his actions speak otherwise, and his knowledge of the Constitution is seriously lacking.
For instance, in January, he said the following on Meet the Press. –
CHUCK TODD:
Let me ask you. Senator Rubio sponsored a bill back in Florida to give in-state tuition for undocumented immigrants. There’s a lot of states that allow in-state tuition for the children of undocumented immigrants. I’ve not heard your position on that.
DONALD TRUMP:
I’m opposed to it.
CHUCK TODD:
Totally opposed?
DONALD TRUMP:
They’re here. They’re not here legally. I’m opposed to it–
CHUCK TODD:
Even kids born to illegal immigrants–
DONALD TRUMP:
Well, I happen to disagree with the whole concept of anchor babies. I mean, you look at anchor babies–
CHUCK TODD:
But that’s in the Constitution.
DONALD TRUMP:
No, it’s not in the Constitution. If you read and if you look, and if you go to the real scholars, like different people that I can give you, they will tell you. Somebody comes over and they have a baby on our border and it happens to be on this side of the border, we’re not mandated to take care of that baby. You do not have to change the Constitution.
You may need a vote in Congress, but you don’t have to change. Now, there’s a, you know, debate about that. I don’t think it’s even close. And I’ve been on this issue for a long time. No, no, people have to come into our country legally, Chuck. They have to be here legally.
Trump was completely wrong.
According to Section 1 of the 14th Amendment, “All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the state wherein they reside. No state shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any state deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.
The vast majority of legal scholars hold the opinion that children of immigrants who are born in the United States are citizens.
Again, it’s when he says things like, “if you go to the real scholars, like different people that I can give you” that I get really worried. If he’s so rich and great, why doesn’t he have actual credible scholars and researchers on his staff?
His position on illegal immigration isn’t even what I’m taking offense with here. (But let it be known, I greatly disagree with him there.) It’s the fact that he wants to be the POTUS and doesn’t understand the 14th Amendment!!

These are not all of my reasons. But this is already over 1,600 words. So I’ll stop here.
Donald Trump is not a man with the knowledge, temperament, or experience to be the President.



Saturday, March 19, 2016

Hell no, Trump Must Go

It's no secret that I am on a one-woman mission to tear down the Trump. The man disgusts and scares me. In the past few day there have been some very interesting articles about him, in a creative way of not actually being about him.

"The most important skill for any con artist is the ability to lie with complete confidence. People generally feel uncomfortable lying, and they assume that others share their reluctance to fabricate. For this reason, the average person finds it difficult to dismiss a false statement delivered with absolute authority." - The Weekly Standard, "The Art of the Con."

In Utah at a campaign event this weekend the Trump claimed that he "paid the tithing" for some of his employees straight to the Mormon Church for them so they "wouldn't be tempted." If you're Mormon and reading this, you know that's just a bald-faced lie. That's not how tithing works. It's the most ridiculous lie I've ever heard on such a public scale. If you're not Mormon and reading this, ask me privately, and I'll be glad to explain how and why it's so ridiculous.  - Salt Lake Tribune "Trump Questions Romney's Mormon Faith."  Oh, and criticizing or questioning Mitt Romney in Utah to a group of Republicans?? That's just laughably stupid. Talk about not knowing your audience, and self-aggrandizing beliefs. 

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Coalition for a Civil Society


I spend a LOT of time worrying about the future of our country if Donald Trump gets the GOP nomination. I spend a lot of time analyzing the possible reasons why the other GOP candidates have said they would support him if he becomes the presumptive nominee, and they won't go rogue or third party.
But I'm not a whiner, and I try to be more than just an armchair quarterback. I've been active in politics most of my life, and I know how to get involved and make a difference. I won't just sit around and complain about the direction of politics in this country.
If Kasich, Cruz, or Rubio get the nomination, I can support them. I could vote for any one of them. I'd prefer it be Rubio, with Kasich as my second choice.
But I can't support Trump. Period.
I admit the idea of a brokered convention excites me.
I love the idea of a candidate breaking off and going third party. I accept that that will most likely mean that the Democrats win this cycle. And I'm okay with that. I can endure another 4 years of a Clinton administration. Bill wasn't that bad. (He wasn't that great either, and was definitely the beginning of a serious moral downfall in this country, but he wasn't bad economically for us.)
But during those four years a major overhaul of the political system in this country can finally happen. A third party can grow and gain strength in that time. And we'll finally see a left-middle-right three party system. I WANT that to happen.
I firmly believe that if a new, strong, middle moderate party forms that we will begin to see a move civil and effective dialogue.
In my efforts to be more than just an armchair quarterback, I have a new goal to create a "Coalition for a Civil Society." A coalition to create civil discussion within politics, and raise the bar on the difference between entitled behavior and noble principles.

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

The Smarter You Are, the Less Likely You Are to Vote for Trump (I have proof!)


I never thought I'd say coming in second, and even third place, is a great victory, but for ‪#‎TeamMarco‬, it is. I'm thrilled with his results tonight. 
Something very interesting to note about the VA returns. Rubio won Arlington, Alexandria, Fairfax, Loudoun, Harrisonburg, Lynchburg, Prince William, Fredericksburg City (but not Spotsy), Henrico, Richmond, Goochland, Radford, Albemarle, Chesterfield, James City, Winchester, and York counties. Notice anything interesting about those counties?
Let's reword it like this instead-
He won the homes of GMU, UVA, William and Mary, JMU, Patrick Henry College, Mary Washington U, Liberty University, Radford, VCU, Shenandoah Conservatory, Christendom College, and U of Richmond. (Not listed in same order as the counties.)  Not to mention all of the people who live in NoVA, but attend GWU, GU, and JHU, or are known for having post-graduate degrees.
Also known as the most affluent and educated counties in the state. Apparently, the smarter you are, the more likely you are to not vote for Trump!
It's interesting to also note that in Montgomery County, home of VA Tech, Rubio lost to Trump by a mere 29 votes. So we can sort of pretend that county followed suit too. (And after the final tallies have been truly certified, that number could possibly tip in Rubio's favor.)
(I'm a little disappointed that Rubio lost by nearly 1,000 in Roanoke County. However, he only lost by 200 in Roanoke City. Cruz had a stronger showing overall in the county than in most areas in the state.)

I applied my education theory to a few other states that I have some knowledge of as far as major universities go. It holds up in GA, NH, AR, SC, and IA. It didn't hold up in Massachusetts. I tried to apply it to AL, but the data was inconclusive and skewed due to a tornado touchdown in the specific counties I was interested in. And admittedly, I know nothing about Minnesota universities or counties. Texas went overwhelmingly for Cruz. 6 counties went to Trump. Notably, not one has a major educational institution in it. (Which is saying something. Texas has universities and colleges every 10 feet!) My knowledge of OK was also too limited, but I did see that at least in 1 of the 2 Rubio counties, there was a major state university!
So apparently the smarter you are, the less likely you are to vote for Trump! And now we have proof!